Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.685245e-05 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068
2025-05-11 2.170810e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058 0.000071 0.000087
2025-05-18 1.729501e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000061 0.000079 0.000101
2025-05-25 1.316148e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000044 0.000061 0.000082 0.000109
2025-06-01 1.041349e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000062 0.000086 0.000118
2025-06-08 8.552489e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000042 0.000064 0.000091 0.000128
2025-06-15 7.061745e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000042 0.000065 0.000096 0.000137
2025-06-22 5.696318e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000041 0.000066 0.000099 0.000145
2025-06-29 4.419663e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000039 0.000065 0.000101 0.000151
2025-07-06 3.295465e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000037 0.000063 0.000101 0.000154
2025-07-13 2.598389e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000036 0.000064 0.000103 0.000160
2025-07-20 2.144818e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000065 0.000107 0.000169
2025-07-27 1.698176e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000067 0.000113 0.000181
2025-08-03 1.515508e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000072 0.000123 0.000199
2025-08-10 1.182607e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000038 0.000074 0.000129 0.000212
2025-08-17 7.852085e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000036 0.000073 0.000129 0.000217
2025-08-24 5.393736e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000073 0.000132 0.000225
2025-08-31 3.874393e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000034 0.000074 0.000136 0.000236
2025-09-07 2.721942e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000075 0.000141 0.000246
2025-09-14 1.736346e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000033 0.000075 0.000144 0.000254
2025-09-21 9.438687e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000074 0.000144 0.000259
2025-09-28 4.133372e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000143 0.000261
2025-10-05 1.923706e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000071 0.000145 0.000268